I was under the impression originally that no in-game states were used to determine MMR...but clearly now they do use in game stats, at least for the first game.
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They must be using different stats for new accounts. Citing "Fletcher":
> ...We have some good data that by 75 wins (approx 150 games), Elo is pretty accurate, and so we rely on it almost exclusively at around that point...
http://dev.dota2.com/showthread.php?t=98311&page=2&p=663966&viewfull=1#post663966
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i dont know if this has already been mentioned, but i tested this out today.
im sure i read somewhere that valve clearly stated that kills death and assist dont matter in terms of mmr, but when i made two smurf accounts, both winning a game (one with a high kda 28 - 3 or something, and then 3 - 4) the game i played afterwards was placed into very high but for the one with the low kda (3 - 4) the bracket remained normal.