General Discussion

General DiscussionDoes MMR distribution shift?

Does MMR distribution shift? in General Discussion
commander bones

    I was wondering if the distribution can shift over time or if MMR is truly a sum zero game where the original values hold true:

    5% 1100
    10% 1500
    25% 2000
    50% 2250
    75% 2731
    90% 3200
    95% 3900
    99% 4100

    According to this chart, anything around or above 3.9k is pretty solid (top 5%). that would mean these are some harsh boards (anything below 5k generally earning the badge of shit tier)

    About me... personally I play the game for fun (been on for about 2 years) and have been bouncing between 3.6 and 3.9k since mmr came out. There are (by my perception) decent games played at this level. Then again maybe I'm just a stupid shit tier play who doesn't know better or who underperforms and doesn't realize where or how. if anyone wants to look at my games and give me feedback, i'm opening up myself up for suggestions and of course the brutal honesty that comes along with posting here.

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    Vandal

      MMR is not a zero sum game. Refer to the calibration phase where thousands of MMR are added or removed to "the game" per user or when people simply make new accounts, which adds thousands of MMR to the game right off the bat.

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      Mia

        Scrub I've been playing since a year ago and have 4.4-4.6

        I never played any MOBA but i was ranked 1-10 in 3 command and conquer games although i sucked at microing my bullshit strats always worked (6 levithan NOD c&c4 best C&c4)

        Vandal

          @darkness
          wow dude that's so impressive. Let's hope you can put that on your resume.

          Androgynous

            It's like people have selective sight or some shit
            The source which you took that info from: http://blog.dota2.com/2013/12/matchmaking/

            Specifically states:

            [color=#affaff]
            To give you a feel for the range of MMR, below are some MMRs corresponding to various percentiles.

            5% 1100
            10% 1500
            25% 2000
            50% 2250
            75% 2731
            90% 3200
            95% 3900
            99% 4100[/color]

            [color=red]Note that this distribution is from normal matchmaking.[/color] [color=#affaff]We don’t know yet what the distribution will be in ranked matchmaking, but we expect it to be different. The players who participate in ranked matchmaking will be more skilled, more experienced players. We anticipate that any given player will have different expectations and play the game differently in ranked matchmaking compared to normal matchmaking.[/color]

            There is no way that 4.1k is the 99th percentile in ranked. My guess is that it's like 5.5k or something.

            Vandal

              @androgynous

              Yes, there is a way. What is 1% of 10000? It's 100. That's a lot of people. There's more than 5 million dota players. 1% of that is 50000. That's a lot of players. To put things in perspective, there are only a few hundred players with 5.5k MMR. Let's say there are 5000 even. That'd be the top .01%.

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              dragon energy

                Going from leaderboards there are probably like 300 people in each region above 5k. Meaning 1% above 4k is very likely.

                Esvernock

                  Do you really need to necro this thread, just for sake, of saying something totally useless?

                  ★n7k1

                    real human bean simple mathematic approach was interesting to read for me.